RakeOwl

Stake Dice 10x: Win Chance and Targets

For a 10x payout on Stake Dice, roll over 90.10 or under 9.90. That is a 9.9% win chance.

In 1,000 bets at 10x, expect a longest losing run of about 44.

Roll over90.10
Or roll under9.90
Win chance9.9%
Bets for a 50% chance of a win7

Chance of a losing streak at 10x

Losses in a rowChance
373.1%
559.4%
1035.3%
2012.4%
500.545%
1000.002968%

How we calculate

Stake Dice rolls 0.00 to 100.00. Payout = 99 ÷ win chance, so 10x needs a 9.9% chance. A $10 win at 10x returns $100.

Losing n in a row = (1 − chance)ⁿ.

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Questions

What do I set for 10x on Stake Dice?

Roll over 90.10 or roll under 9.90. Both give a 9.9% win chance.

How often does 10x Dice win?

9.9% of bets, about 99 wins per 1,000 bets on average.

Is roll over better than roll under?

No. With the same win chance, both pay the same and have the same 1% house edge.

Does Martingale work on this target?

No. Doubling after losses doesn't change the 1% edge; a long losing streak can wipe out the bankroll.

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