Stake Dice 2x: Win Chance and Targets
For a 2x payout on Stake Dice, roll over 50.50 or under 49.50. That is a 49.5% win chance.
In 1,000 bets at 2x, expect a longest losing run of about 9.
Roll over50.50
Or roll under49.50
Win chance49.5%
Bets for a 50% chance of a win2
Chance of a losing streak at 2x
| Losses in a row | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3 | 12.9% |
| 5 | 3.28% |
| 10 | 0.108% |
| 20 | 0.000116% |
How we calculate
Stake Dice rolls 0.00 to 100.00. Payout = 99 ÷ win chance, so 2x needs a 49.5% chance. A $10 win at 2x returns $20.
Losing n in a row = (1 − chance)ⁿ.
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Questions
What do I set for 2x on Stake Dice?
Roll over 50.50 or roll under 49.50. Both give a 49.5% win chance.
How often does 2x Dice win?
49.5% of bets, about 495 wins per 1,000 bets on average.
Is roll over better than roll under?
No. With the same win chance, both pay the same and have the same 1% house edge.
Does Martingale work on this target?
No. Doubling after losses doesn't change the 1% edge; a long losing streak can wipe out the bankroll.
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