Stake Dice 4x: Win Chance and Targets
For a 4x payout on Stake Dice, roll over 75.25 or under 24.75. That is a 24.75% win chance.
In 1,000 bets at 4x, expect a longest losing run of about 19.
Roll over75.25
Or roll under24.75
Win chance24.75%
Bets for a 50% chance of a win3
Chance of a losing streak at 4x
| Losses in a row | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3 | 42.6% |
| 5 | 24.1% |
| 10 | 5.82% |
| 20 | 0.339% |
| 50 | 0.000067% |
How we calculate
Stake Dice rolls 0.00 to 100.00. Payout = 99 ÷ win chance, so 4x needs a 24.75% chance. A $10 win at 4x returns $40.
Losing n in a row = (1 − chance)ⁿ.
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Questions
What do I set for 4x on Stake Dice?
Roll over 75.25 or roll under 24.75. Both give a 24.75% win chance.
How often does 4x Dice win?
24.75% of bets, about 248 wins per 1,000 bets on average.
Is roll over better than roll under?
No. With the same win chance, both pay the same and have the same 1% house edge.
Does Martingale work on this target?
No. Doubling after losses doesn't change the 1% edge; a long losing streak can wipe out the bankroll.
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