Stake Dice 5x: Win Chance and Targets
For a 5x payout on Stake Dice, roll over 80.20 or under 19.80. That is a 19.8% win chance.
In 1,000 bets at 5x, expect a longest losing run of about 24.
Roll over80.20
Or roll under19.80
Win chance19.8%
Bets for a 50% chance of a win4
Chance of a losing streak at 5x
| Losses in a row | Chance |
|---|---|
| 3 | 51.6% |
| 5 | 33.2% |
| 10 | 11% |
| 20 | 1.21% |
| 50 | 0.001617% |
How we calculate
Stake Dice rolls 0.00 to 100.00. Payout = 99 ÷ win chance, so 5x needs a 19.8% chance. A $10 win at 5x returns $50.
Losing n in a row = (1 − chance)ⁿ.
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Questions
What do I set for 5x on Stake Dice?
Roll over 80.20 or roll under 19.80. Both give a 19.8% win chance.
How often does 5x Dice win?
19.8% of bets, about 198 wins per 1,000 bets on average.
Is roll over better than roll under?
No. With the same win chance, both pay the same and have the same 1% house edge.
Does Martingale work on this target?
No. Doubling after losses doesn't change the 1% edge; a long losing streak can wipe out the bankroll.
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